Sunday, 2 July 2017

A distinct danger



In above deal, South competed with 2 and North came through with an excellent 4 bid.  North bid on the assumption that he had shown nothing when, in fact, he had two valuable cards.

West led the K and A.  South ruffed and started after trumps.  West took the second round, Had he continued hearts, South would have had the rest, barring the club loser but West switched to a club.  North took his A and tried to come to his hand with a diamond. Bad luck. West ruffed it and East’s K became the setting trick.

On the bidding, there is a distinct danger that West has no diamonds. East did bid them in response to the double.  South can also more or less count on West’s having the A.  South should have discarded a club on the second heart.  In this way, South could later ruff a club to his hand, keeping East off lead.

It is true that if East has the A and only four diamonds, and West holds more than one trump, South would have found a way to go down on a cold hand (West would lead his diamond at trick three and get a ruff when East takes his A), but that is an odds against scenario.  The one that did occur is more likely.

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