A distinct danger

In above deal, South competed with 2♠ and North came through with an excellent 4♠ bid.  North bid on the assumption that he had shown nothing when, in fact, he had two valuable cards.

West led the ♥K and ♥A.  South ruffed and started after trumps.  West took the second round, Had he continued hearts, South would have had the rest, barring the club loser but West switched to a club.  North took his ♣A and tried to come to his hand with a diamond. Bad luck. West ruffed it and East’s ♣K became the setting trick.

On the bidding, there is a distinct danger that West has no diamonds. East did bid them in response to the double.  South can also more or less count on West’s having the ♠A.  South should have discarded a club on the second heart.  In this way, South could later ruff a club to his hand, keeping East off lead.

It is true that if East has the ♠A and only four diamonds, and West holds more than one trump, South would have found a way to go down on a cold hand (West would lead his diamond at trick three and get a ruff when East takes his ♠A), but that is an odds against scenario.  The one that did occur is more likely.

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